It’s Complicated
I’m not sure which is my new mantra, “With COVID-19, everything is complicated” or “With COVID-19, nothing is easy.” Back in the spring, I listed about 13 different sources for guidelines/views regarding dealing with COVID in schools, and I even missed including the Iowa Department of Human Services (DHS), which licenses ECLC, 3 year old preschool, and “aftercare” for 5-12 year olds:
- National leadership, such as what the president or the federal coronavirus task force says
- The Center for Disease Control (CDC)
- Iowa Governor Reynolds’ proclamations and statements
- Iowa Department of Education (DE)
- Iowa Department of Public Health
- Iowa COVID regions
- Scott County, particularly the Scott County Health Department
- City of Davenport
- Diocese of Davenport
- Davenport Community School District (DCSD)
- What other area churches and Catholic schools are doing
- Everyone’s own opinions and practices
- OLV/JFK itself
The guidance they issue (and sometimes rescind) tends to change over time. Sometimes it is even contradictory. DHS, for example, says to notify families of a positive case in the childcare setting. The DE, however, says to only share numbers of 0 and the range of 1-5, and then one can share actual numbers once 6 or more cases are confirmed, in order to maintain people’s privacy. We have followed these dual sets of guidance this past week. This week we have had 1-5 three year olds – 8th graders and staff absent due to having tested positive themselves. Since school began, we have had a total of eight persons test positive. We work together with families to determine self-isolation dates and contact tracing as it might relate to other students/staff. We also do the same to determine dates for quarantining students or staff when someone is a close contact either with someone outside of school or within school. Most often we are talking to families about these dates long before the official “contact tracers” these days. Occasionally, our dates are off a day or two from the health department as sometimes people remember things differently, or the interpretation might be different. Was that “tickle” in one’s throat really a “sore throat?” Was the fatigue one felt during the day due to being awake all night or really the start of a COVID symptom? Answers aren’t always simple.
It gets even more complicated. The Iowa Department of Public Health now says that if both the positive case and close contact were wearing masks, there is no need for an asymptomatic close contact to quarantine. The Diocese of Davenport, however, does not allow us to follow that guidance. So while Public Health may not be telling certain people to quarantine, we might be.
Just determining what “type” of absence to call something can sometimes be complicated. When people are quarantining as an extra precaution, even though Public Health doesn’t require them to because a case has not been confirmed yet, are they absent because they are a close contact and quarantining? Without the positive case identified yet, they, technically are not yet a close contact. In about the middle of this week, we started to pull these numbers out separately from “other absences” — see below.) There are federal definitions related to payroll, definitions for diocesan reporting, and definitions for Public Health and our internal tracking.
JFK Specific Data on Friday, November 20, 2020
Here’s what we had at JFK on Friday, November 20th. The percentages are based upon the number of staff and students that are expected to be in the building; they do not include those who have chosen to do long-term remote learning:
Percent of students and staff absent due to COVID or COVID symptoms (and getting tested): 3.12%. November13: 0.23%
Percent of students and staff absent due to other illnesses that we have to report to the health department, which includes gastrointestinal and respiratory issues (the types of things for which you give symptoms when you call your student in “sick”): 1.20%. November 13: 1.41% These numbers are probably pretty small because just about everything seems to be a COVID symptom.
Percent of students and staff absent because they are, thus, “sick:” 4.32%. November 13: 1.64%
Percent of students and staff absent who are quarantining because they were close contacts to a positive COVID case and required to quarantine: 5.52%. November 13: 3.52%
Percent of students and staff absent who are voluntarily quarantining because they may be a close contact if the person with whom they had close contact receives a positive test result: 1.20% (We started to separate these absences from “other” just this week.)
Total percent of students and staff absent because they are “sick,” required to quarantine, or voluntarily quarantining: 11.04%
Percent of students and staff who are absent for other reasons, including vacations, funerals, appointments, transportation issues, needing a mask free day, unknown, etc.: 3.6%
Total percent of students and staff expected to be in the building but were absent: 14.63%. November 13: 9.86%
In addition, we have 6.80% of the student body doing long-term remote learning and not expected to be in the building. That figure has grown from 4.53% on November 13th and will increase, again, on Monday.
Scott County Data
For those keeping up with some of the data I’ve reported regularly for Scott County, see the below:
- As of November 18th, Scott County’s 14 day average for new cases was at a RATE of 1,989 per 100,000 persons.
- The 14 day positivity rate calculation used by the Department of Education for Scott County is at 24.8% today. The good news is that the rate is down from last week’s 26.6%!
- The percent of hospital beds used for COVID patients is now up to 33%.
- The health department said they are seeing a fairly steady percentage of positive cases among those aged 6-18 years old: about 8% of all positive cases. Of course, with more positive cases, the raw number of 6-18 years old testing positive has also increased.
- According to the CDC’s document regarding the risk of COVID-19 transmission in schools (see the link below), the risk of transmission in Scott County schools continues to be in the highest levels of risk according to the number of new cases per 100,000 population, positivity rate, percent change in number of new cases per 100,000, and percent of hospital beds now used for COVID patients. The percentage of hospital beds actually used, however, was still at the lowest risk level. The hospital metrics may be somewhat misleading as the hospitals are starting to do more creative things like putting multiple patients in the same rooms, cancelling overnight procedures, converting wards from one usage to COVID use, and doing more extensive “home monitoring” of patients to try to keep people out of the hospital if they don’t need to be seen and yet into the hospital sooner if their symptoms do warrant it.
CDC indicators, thresholds of COVID transmission in schools
Due in part to the changing situation with the hospital information and the access to this information being only weekly, we have made a change to the metrics shared with you regarding building/grade level closures and face covering requirements. We shifted the community spread metric for a face covering requirement to just the 14 day county positivity test rate, a data point always available to us. Note: Building/grade level closures would probably need the thresholds to be hit for a few days in a row or with an average before action is taken. Everyone might need a little advance notice anyway! The threshold figures also do not include those who are not expected to be in the building because they have chosen long-term remote learning.
COVID Metrics for building closure, face masks, 11-16-2020
Challenges This Past Week
Our biggest challenges this past week were due to staff absences. We have about 30 licensed staff members (teachers, administrators, and student support specialist) and 17 support staff (office, technology, aides, lunch, custodians, library, etc.) We had as many as ten of our 47 staff members absent on two days. The absences were for a variety of reasons, some planned and some not planned, and as many as half were not related to any sort of illness or quarantining. (Even during a pandemic, other things continue in our lives!) When staff are absent, we try to hire substitute teachers and rearrange people’s duties and schedules in order to keep going. Sometimes it works better than other times. Even by shutting down the lunch program, for example, we still have about four hours of work per day that have to be covered in order for kids to safely eat their own sack lunches utilizing our current mitigation protocols. I can’t say how many staff members need to be absent for it to become unmanageable; it just depends upon the positions. Staffing issues also don’t often provide a lot of notice, and that makes things even harder. Staffing is one of our weaker links in the ability to remain open. We are bending, but we have not broken yet.
Conversations About the Future
It seems like we will make it with face-to-face instruction until at least Thanksgiving. The question now is whether or not we’ll make it until Christmas. Many of our conversations and preparations (when we have time to think about the future rather than just react to the present) are to make sure we can be ready if we don’t make it. When you are thinking about your Thanksgiving plans and the three weeks between Thanksgiving and Christmas break, you should probably do some “what if…” thinking as well. What will you do if there is a building/grade level closure for a period of time?
Upcoming Dates
November 24: Thanksgiving Food Color Day: Dress in the color(s) of your favorite Thanksgiving food. Everyone will be given a sticker to identify their “food item.” The homeroom with the most colors representing the most different foods will win bragging rights and the “golden” sign. Students may be out of uniform on this day if they participate in the special theme but need to follow the out of uniform guidelines.
November 25: Dismissal is at 12:15 p.m. There is bus transportation. There is no afternoon preschool.
November 26-27: Thanksgiving break. No classes. No ECLC.
Online JFK Spirit Store
Click HERE for the online JFK spirit store developed by Home & School. Winter hats and scarves are now available, as well as some great stocking stuffer ideas.
Mississippi Valley School Tuition Organization (STO)
More than 620 students in Scott County are benefiting from financial assistance through the Mississippi Valley School Tuition Organization (MVSTO). In order to provide the level of financial assistance needed, donations are needed each year. Donations to the MVSTO are great because they benefit both students and donors. Students receive the financial assistance needed by their families so they can attend Catholic/private schools, and donors receive a 65% tax CREDIT, not deduction, off of their Iowa taxes, AND the other 35% is a charitable deduction on their federal taxes. A $100 donation to the MVSTO, for example, allows one to reduce one’s Iowa tax bill by $65, and, at the 32% federal income tax bracket, one might be able to reduce one’s tax bill by about $11. If you follow the math, a student receives the $100 benefit in financial assistance while the donor has a net cost of, not $100, but only $24!
Donations for this year’s taxes must be made by December 31st. Act now! Use the following link for more information and the forms needed: https://www.mvsto.org/
Chad
